EV Policy by Country

Policy inventory verified 2026-08-31 · Share periods vary by official series · Updated September 01, 2026

Electric cars were 24% of new-car sales worldwide in the first half of 2026: above 60% in China, above 30% in the European Union, and about 7% in the United States (IEA definition, which includes plug-in hybrids). This page helps explain differences like these by cataloging, from primary sources, what each of ten major car markets actually does about electric vehicles: every purchase subsidy, company-car tax break, registration-tax difference, fleet standard, sales mandate and import tariff in force, each dated and linked to the document behind it, beside each market's own official battery-electric share of new sales.

The record itself is the interesting part. The United States ended all three federal purchase credits for vehicles acquired after September 30, 2025, and admits a Chinese-built EV only over a stacked 127.5% tariff. Norway, where battery-electric cars are 96% of new passenger cars, now charges electric cars a higher daily circulation tax than petrol cars (NOK 9.16 against 6.52) and has enacted the phase-out of its VAT exemption. And the largest policy differences are the least discussed: taxes are roughly half the pump price of gasoline across Europe, against one-seventh in the United States, and company-car and benefit-in-kind taxation, the category this inventory found hardest to verify anywhere, is excluded even from the IEA's own headline support metric.

What this page deliberately does not do: the shares carry their own denominators and are not directly comparable across markets, and observed differences in EV share cannot be separated into preference, policy, price, supply, product mix, geography and infrastructure with the available data. The page documents the record and leaves that judgment to the reader.

This inventory cannot produce a policy-adjusted counterfactual share, rank markets by how much policy they have, or turn its non-random coverage into a causal account. The U.S. series records a sharp descriptive break, but this page treats it as confounded by simultaneous regulatory, supply, financing, price and inventory changes.

Definitions: on this page, EV means BEV only and excludes plug-in hybrids; IEA "electric cars" include PHEVs; /ev-sales/ counts plug-in light-duty vehicles, including pickups and SUVs. These definitions are not interchangeable.

1. Cross-market IEA shares use one definition

The figures in this section alone use the IEA's harmonised term. Each is quoted from the Electric Car Markets in a Time of Uncertainty, July 2026, licensed CC BY 4.0 and licence-verified on 2026-08-31.

MarketIEA observationDefinition at point of use
ChinaQ2 2026 above 60 percent, full-year expected above 60 percentelectric cars, IEA definition, includes plug-in hybrids
United Kingdom38% in H1 2026electric cars, IEA definition, includes plug-in hybrids
European Unionabove 30% in H1 2026electric cars, IEA definition, includes plug-in hybrids
World24% in H1 2026electric cars, IEA definition, includes plug-in hybrids
United Statesabout 7% average monthly share in H1 2026electric cars, IEA definition, includes plug-in hybrids

The denominator matters even within this harmonised series. Global electric-car sales were about 1% lower year on year in H1 2026, while total car sales were about 5% lower. Share rose because the whole market contracted faster. See global EV sales for the growth narrative.

2. Six kinds of EV policy in ten markets

Rows are alphabetical. A market enters only when all six categories are resolved from primary sources, including a sourced negative. Status, challenge and verification are separate fields. "Supranational" identifies an EU or EEA policy applying to the country; there is no European Union row.

MarketPurchase subsidyCompany car / BIKRegistration / circulation taxFleet CO2 / efficiency standardZEV sales mandateImport tariff / quotaOfficial BEV share
Australia expired · none · primary-source No consumer grant in force; the last state rebate closed 2025-05-10. subnational · expiry/end 2025-05-10 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source Eligible BEV and FCEV car benefits are FBT-exempt; PHEVs were removed 2025-04-01. national · effective 2022-07-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 33% Luxury Car Tax above AUD 91,661 for fuel-efficient cars versus AUD 80,809 otherwise in 2026-27; subnational rules vary. subnational · effective 2025-07-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source Mandatory NVES from 2025-07-01, with mass-adjusted fleet CO2 limits and banking and trading. national · effective 2025-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source absent · none · primary-source No ZEV sales quota; NVES is a fleet CO2 standard, not a technology mandate. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source Eligible new EVs below the fuel-efficient-car limit are duty-free; no China-specific vehicle duty. national · effective 2022-07-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
Canada in-force · none · primary-source EVAP pays up to CAD 5,000 for BEV/FCEV and CAD 2,500 for PHEV in 2026. national · effective 2026-02-16 · expiry/end 2031-03-31 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source No EV-specific BIK rate; eligible ZEVs receive a higher 2026 CCA capital-cost ceiling. national · effective 2026-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source Federal green levy reaches CAD 4,000 at 16 L/100 km; provincial EV charges vary. subnational · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source Federal light-vehicle fleet-average CO2-equivalent standards remain in force. national · effective 2011-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 20% ZEV requirement for MY2026 remains in force; repeal is proposed, not final. national · effective 2023-12-15 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 49,000-unit year-one permit quota from 2026-03-01 at the 6.1% MFN rate. national · effective 2026-03-01 · expiry/end 2027-02-28 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
Denmark absent · none · primary-source No national passenger-EV purchase grant. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source No EV-specific BIK rate; tax-base and charging rules provide indirect treatment. national · effective 2025-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 40% of ordinary registration tax in 2026, with a DKK 161,300 deduction. national · effective 2026-01-01 · expiry/end 2026-12-31 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source EU fleet CO2 standard, including 2025 to 2027 averaging. supranational · effective 2025-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source absent · none · primary-source No national ZEV sales quota. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · both · primary-source EU 10% MFN plus 7.8% to 35.3% China-BEV countervailing duties. supranational · effective 2024-10-30 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
France in-force · none · primary-source CEE Coup de pouce for eligible BEVs; social leasing reopened 2026-07-16. national · effective 2025-07-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 70% BIK abatement capped at EUR 4,582 per year through 2027-12-31. national · effective 2025-02-01 · expiry/end 2027-12-31 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source BEVs avoid the 2026 CO2 and mass maluses; regional registration treatment varies. subnational · effective 2026-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source EU fleet CO2 standard with 2025 to 2027 averaging. supranational · effective 2025-06-25 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source absent · none · primary-source No ZEV sales mandate; the fleet acquisition quota also admits PHEVs. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · both · primary-source EU 10% MFN plus 7.8% to 35.3% China-BEV countervailing duties. supranational · effective 2024-10-30 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
Germany in-force · none · primary-source Income-tested EUR 3,000 to EUR 6,000 for BEV/FCEV through 2029-12-31. national · effective 2026-05-19 · expiry/end 2029-12-31 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source Qualifying BEVs use one quarter of list price, effectively 0.25% per month. national · effective 2025-07-01 · expiry/end 2030-12-31 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source Ten-year BEV Kfz-Steuer exemption for first registrations through 2030. national · expiry/end 2035-12-31 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source EU fleet CO2 standard with 2025 to 2027 averaging. supranational · effective 2025-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source absent · none · primary-source No ZEV sales mandate; a separate public-procurement quota exists. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · both · primary-source EU 10% MFN plus 7.8% to 35.3% China-BEV countervailing duties. supranational · effective 2024-10-30 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
Netherlands absent · none · primary-source No private purchase grant; SEPP is closed. national · expiry/end 2024-12-27 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 18% bijtelling on the first EUR 30,000 for zero-emission cars versus 22% standard. national · effective 2026-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source EUR 687 fixed BPM for a BEV in 2026; 30% MRB discount through 2028. national · effective 2026-01-01 · expiry/end 2029-12-31 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source EU fleet CO2 standard with 2025 to 2027 averaging. supranational · effective 2025-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source absent · none · primary-source No national ZEV sales quota. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · both · primary-source EU 10% MFN plus 7.8% to 35.3% China-BEV countervailing duties. supranational · effective 2024-10-30 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
Norway in-force · none · primary-source 25% VAT exemption on the first NOK 300,000, worth up to NOK 75,000. Under the December 2025 budget settlement the threshold falls to NOK 150,000 in 2027 and the exemption ends in 2028 (enacted, forward-dated). national · effective 2026-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source repealed · none · primary-source EV BIK advantage repealed from income year 2023. national · effective 2023-01-01 · expiry/end 2022-12-31 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source BEVs avoid combustion-only acquisition components but pay a NOK 9.16/day circulation charge from 2026-03-01. national · effective 2026-03-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source EEA implementation of the EU fleet CO2 standard. supranational · effective 2026-06-12 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source absent · none · primary-source No ZEV sales mandate; the 2025 target was a policy goal. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source absent · none · primary-source Zero MFN vehicle tariff; no China-specific vehicle duty. national · effective 2026-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
Sweden in-force · none · primary-source Means- and geography-tested SEK 46,800 over 36 months, plus up to SEK 18,000. national · effective 2026-03-18 · expiry/end 2032-08-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source SEK 350,000 BEV valuation reduction, capped at 50% of price. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source SEK 360 annual base for a zero-emission car; combustion cars add CO2 and malus charges. national · effective 2025-02-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source EU fleet CO2 standard with 2025 to 2027 averaging. supranational · effective 2025-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source absent · none · primary-source No national ZEV sales quota in the complete official policy inventory. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · both · primary-source EU 10% MFN plus 7.8% to 35.3% China-BEV countervailing duties. supranational · effective 2024-10-30 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
United Kingdom in-force · none · primary-source Up to GBP 3,750 for eligible new zero-emission cars, extended to 2030. national · effective 2025-07-15 · expiry/end 2030-12-31 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 4% BIK for 0 g/km company cars in 2026-27 versus up to 37%. national · effective 2026-04-06 · expiry/end 2027-04-05 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source GBP 10 first-year VED at 0 g/km; GBP 200 from year two for every powertrain. national · effective 2026-04-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source Non-Zero-Emission Car CO2 Trading Scheme under SI 2023/1394. national · effective 2024-01-03 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 33% ZEV car target for 2026; review consultation changes nothing yet. national · effective 2024-01-03 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 10% third-country duty; no China-specific vehicle trade-remedy duty. national · effective 2023-01-01 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
United States repealed · none · primary-source Federal consumer credits ended 2025-09-30; state status resolved 51/51. subnational · effective 2025-10-01 · expiry/end 2025-09-30 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source absent · none · primary-source No federal EV-specific company-car valuation rule. national · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source Federal gas-guzzler tax plus complete 51/51 state fee inventory: 41 in force, 1 future, 9 none. subnational · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · under-judicial-challenge · primary-source EPA GHG standards repealed; CAFE remains with a USD 0.00 civil penalty; reset proposed only. national · effective 2026-04-20 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · under-judicial-challenge · primary-source No federal mandate; complete 51/51 state-law inventory with 13 ACC II adopters and Minnesota caveat. subnational · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source in-force · none · primary-source 127.5% total on a Chinese-built BEV: 2.5% MFN + 100% Section 301 + 25% Section 232. national · effective 2025-04-03 · verified 2026-08-31 Primary source
These percentages are not directly comparable. Germany, France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Denmark and Norway use new passenger cars. The United States uses light-duty vehicles. Canada uses all new motor vehicles. The United Kingdom and Australia use ZEV numerators that include fuel-cell vehicles, and their vehicle denominators also differ. Periods range from a month to a year. The share column therefore has no sort control, and no ranking is calculated.

Indiana source footnote and Minnesota caveat

Indiana's negative rests on four named primary-source legs: Maine DEP's January 2026 statutory enumeration of ACC II adopters under 38 M.R.S. 585-D; the EPA-approved 326 IAC schedule at 40 CFR 52 subpart P, which contains no California standards; IDEM's own air rulemaking docket, which contains none; and 42 U.S.C. 7543(a) preemption together with 7507, which leave section 177 adoption as the lawful route to a state ZEV mandate. This is reasoning across documents, not a single official Indiana schedule.

Minnesota shows why the ACC II complement alone is unsafe: it is absent from that list but Minn. R. 7023.0300 incorporates California Code of Regulations title 13 section 1962.2. The rule is not enforceable after model year 2025; repeal was noticed 2026-06-29, the comment period closed 2026-08-28, and the final repeal date was still undetermined on 2026-08-31.

U.S. subnational completeness: fees 51/51, purchase-incentive status 51/51, and ZEV status 51/51. The 13 ACC II state policies are named in the inventory data record: California Board Resolution 26-3; Colorado 5 CCR 1001-24 Regulation 20; Delaware 7 DE Admin. Code 1140; District of Columbia 20 DCMR chapter 9; Maryland Executive Order 01.01.2025.10; Massachusetts 310 CMR 7.40; New Jersey N.J.A.C. 7:27-29A; New Mexico 20.2.91 NMAC; New York 6 NYCRR Parts 200 and 218; Oregon's 2025-06-13 DEQ memorandum; Rhode Island 250-RICR-120-05-37; Vermont Executive Order 04-25; and Washington Ecology Publication 25-14-036.

3. Road-fuel taxation, July 2026

Tax made up 14.60% of the U.S. pump price of gasoline in July 2026, against 49.83% for the EU-27 weighted average, 51.46% in the United Kingdom and a range of 30.16% (Sweden) to 56.25% (Malta) across sixteen EU member states.

This is general road-fuel taxation, a tax on a substitute good. It is not an EV policy and does not appear in the table above. A higher pump price raises the gasoline expenditure a driver avoids by not buying gasoline; the tax component shown here is the part of the price that is policy. This table does not measure per-kilometre or net EV savings, which would require electricity prices and vehicle efficiency, and this section makes no claim about how fuel taxation affects EV shares.

MarketRetailRetail USD/LTax USD/LEx-tax USD/LTax sharePeriod basisSources
BrazilR$ 6.5732/L1.290.440.8534.0%day-weighted mean of 5 ANP survey weeksANP weekly price survey; Convênio ICMS 112/2025 (DOU 2025-09-08); Petrobras composition · ANP weekly survey (price)
CanadaCAD 1.755/L1.240.221.0217.8%StatCan published monthly averageStatCan 18-10-0001-01; NRCan levies table; Bill C-30 · StatCan 18-10-0001-01 (price)
India (Delhi)INR 102.12/L1.070.300.7727.9%dated build-up as on 2026-07-01; pump price unchanged all 31 daysPPAC Ready Reckoner Table 8.4 · PPAC price build-up
Japan169.98 JPY/L1.050.290.7627.6%mean of 4 ANRE weekly surveysMETI/ANRE petroleum price survey; NTA rate notice · NTA excise rate notice
United Kingdom152.19 p/L2.041.050.9951.5%mean of 4 DESNZ Monday observationsDESNZ weekly road fuel prices; HMRC hydrocarbon oils rates · HMRC hydrocarbon oils rates
United States$3.932/gal1.040.150.8914.6%EIA published monthly averageEIA series EMM_EPMR_PTE_NUS_DPG; EIA fueltaxes.xlsx July 2026 (revised) · EIA fueltaxes.xlsx
EU-27 weighted averageEUR 1.8784/L2.141.071.0849.8%mean of 4 Weekly Oil Bulletin Monday observations (2026-07-06 to 27)EU Weekly Oil Bulletin, Euro-super 95

This cross-market view is Europe-weighted: sixteen of its twenty-three markets are EU member states. China, Norway, Australia, New Zealand and Korea are absent because no tax-component source was verified for them.

Per-market notes: Brazil: Gross statutory content. A R$0.44/L gasolina-A subvention (MP 1.358/2026) offsets R$0.308 per blended litre; net share 29.30%. Price is the E30 blend. Canada: Our volume-weighted construction, band 17.5-17.8%; no official national tax average exists. Federal excise is $0.00 from 2026-04-20 to 2026-09-07 under Bill C-30, reverting to $0.10/L on 2026-09-08. India (Delhi): Delhi only; state VAT ranges from 1% (Andaman) to 35.2% (Telangana). Central excise INR 11.90/L after the 2026-03-27 cut, which PIB states was not passed to the pump. Japan: Broad measure incl. the 2.8 JPY/L petroleum and coal tax; excise-plus-consumption-tax-only is 25.98%. The provisional excise was abolished 2025-12-31 (53.8 to 28.7 JPY/L). Pump held near 170 JPY/L by a refiner subsidy, ~26 JPY/L effect at 2026-08-24. United Kingdom: Duty 52.95p/L unchanged since 2022-03-23; the scheduled 2026-09-01 step was cancelled 2026-05-20, holding through year end. VAT-registered fleet buyers reclaim VAT; their tax content is 34.79%. United States: Volume-weighted state average (2024 SEDS weights); EIA's own unweighted basis gives 13.27%. Federal 18.4 c/gal unchanged since 1993. Local option taxes excluded, so slightly understated.

Sixteen EU member states, Euro-super 95, July 2026 (EUR/litre, with tax / tax / share)
Member stateWith taxWithout taxTaxTax share
Austria1.78880.88440.904450.56%
Belgium1.82100.90480.916250.31%
Denmark2.40861.21021.198449.75%
Finland2.15240.99271.159753.88%
France1.98800.96651.021551.39%
Germany2.13550.99181.143753.55%
Greece1.98080.88211.098755.47%
Ireland1.73000.80230.927753.62%
Italy1.88620.87321.013053.71%
Luxembourg1.70850.89110.817447.84%
Malta1.34000.58620.753856.25%
Netherlands2.31691.06681.250153.96%
Poland1.64380.91490.728944.34%
Portugal1.94320.96750.975750.21%
Spain1.57140.97890.592537.70%
Sweden1.40110.97860.422530.16%

Source: EU Weekly Oil Bulletin history workbook, tax-inclusive and tax-exclusive sheets, mean of the four July 2026 Monday bulletins. Non-euro members are converted by the Bulletin's own weekly rates.

How to read this table.
  • Only the United States (EIA) and Canada (StatCan) figures are officially published monthly averages. The UK, Japan and European figures are unweighted means of the weekly official observations, our construction; Brazil is day-weighted across five survey weeks; India is a dated single build-up, valid because the Delhi pump price was unchanged on every day of the month.
  • The Oil Bulletin's July mean omits 1-5 July, which fall in the bulletin dated 2026-06-29.
  • Where the tax is a fixed per-litre excise, the tax share falls mechanically when prices rise. July 2026 was a high-price month nearly everywhere (US regular +25.8% year on year), so no share here should be read against a share computed in a low-price month.
  • Three tax-exclusive figures are not market prices: Japan's pump price is held near 170 JPY/L by a refiner subsidy, India's is an administered price below the oil companies' stated cost of supply, and Brazil's carries the R$0.44/L subvention.
  • FX: monthly-average central-bank rates matched to monthly-average prices (BoE, BoC, BCB PTAX, Fed G.5, RBI reference, ECB reference). Product grades differ slightly by market (US regular all formulations, Europe Euro-super 95, UK ULSP, Brazil E30 blend, India unbranded blended petrol, Japan regular cash).
  • Tax-exclusive values are calculated residuals (retail minus tax component), not quoted prices; the underlying tax-exclusive observations for Europe come directly from the Oil Bulletin's own without-taxes sheet.
Rate changes 2025-2026 behind these figures
  • Japan. Provisional gasoline excise abolished effective 2025-12-31: 53.8 to 28.7 JPY/L. The diesel provisional rate followed on 2026-04-01. (December 2025 amendment to the Act on Special Measures Concerning Taxation, NTA rate notice)
  • Canada. Federal gasoline excise set to $0.00 for 2026-04-20 through 2026-09-07, reverting to $0.10/L on 2026-09-08. The federal consumer carbon charge (14.31 c/L) was abolished 2025-04-01; BC's carbon tax (~17 c/L) also ended 2025-04-01. (Bill C-30, S.C. 2026 c. 22 s. 11; SOR/2025-107; BC Bill 8-2025)
  • United Kingdom. Duty held at 52.95 p/L: the 1 ppl rise scheduled for 2026-09-01 was cancelled on 2026-05-20, with legislative defaults of 55.95 on 2027-01-01 and 57.95 on 2027-03-01 unless Budget 2026 intervenes. (HMRC hydrocarbon oils rates)
  • Brazil. ICMS ad rem on gasoline rose R$1.47 to R$1.57/L effective 2026-01-01; mandatory ethanol content rose to 30% on 2025-08-01; CIDE reinstated at R$0.10/L on 2026-05-01 with an identical PIS/COFINS cut, leaving the federal total unchanged at R$0.8925/L. (Convênio ICMS 112/2025 (DOU 2025-09-08); Resolução CNPE 9/2025)
  • India. Central excise on petrol cut INR 10/L on 2026-03-27 (SAED 13.00 to 3.00), not passed to the pump per PIB; it offset oil-company under-recoveries of about INR 26/L. (PIB Release 2245970)
  • Sweden. A 2.40 SEK/L CO2-tax cut effective 2026-07-01 through 2026-11-30 took combined energy-plus-CO2 tax to 1,570 SEK/1,000 L, roughly 69% below its level eighteen months earlier; this is why Sweden's July share is 30.2%. (Swedish budget measure)
  • Spain. On 2026-07-01 fuel VAT was restored from 10% to 21% and the hydrocarbon tax set to 322.69 EUR/1,000 L, with relief unwinding through September. (Real Decreto-ley 18/2026, BOE-A-2026-14112)

All figures July 2026, verified 2026-09-01. Full sourcing, FX bases and the two-stage verification record are in the repository research file.

4. Dated policy changes and subsequent sales observations

This fixed corpus is non-exhaustive and non-random. Selection occurred after outcomes were already available, and the research sought subsidy removals, so unchanged markets are absent by construction. The rows are ungrouped and chronological. "Official" below describes the source series, not an estimate of policy effect.

MarketPolicyAnnouncementEffectiveNotice / pull-forwardOutcome definition and denominatorSeries; official?Concurrent changesPolicies survivingKnown confoundersVerification and limit
DenmarkFull registration-tax exemption phased out2015-10-092016-01-01About 3 months; high pull-forward exposureBEV share of new registrations: 2.08% in 2015, 0.57% in 2016, 0.31% in 2017Statistics Denmark; yesTax phase-inOther ownership and use-tax treatmentAsplund et al. covers Tesla Model S only; surge and trough offset over its windowPrimary series plus published study. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
United KingdomPlug-in Car Grant closed2022-06-142022-06-140 daysBEV share of new cars: 11.4% in 2021; 16.2% in 2022DfT; yesNone identified in briefCompany-car BIK; later ZEV mandateAnnual window and changing model supplyPrimary series. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
SwedenKlimatbonus ended for new orders2022-11-082022-11-080 days for orders; payments continued 17 monthsBEV share of new passenger cars: 32.1% in 2022, 37.8% in 2023, 34.2% in 2024SCB; yesPayment tail through 2024-03-31Company-car and annual-tax treatmentAggregate series masks private-leasing and income effectsPrimary series; distributional study separate. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
ChinaNational NEV purchase subsidy endedAbout 12 months' notice2022-12-3112 months; pull-forward possibleNEV sales growth continued through 2023IEA synthesis; not an official statistical seriesPurchase-tax exemption continuedPurchase-tax exemption and local measuresPrices, supply, regulation and macro demandIEA report, CC BY 4.0. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
GermanyPHEV eligibility ended and BEV rate cutExact date not stated in brief2023-01-01About 6 weeks; pull-forward exposedDecember 2022 to January 2023 BEV share change: -23.1 percentage pointsKBA; yesPHEVs excluded and BEV rate changed togetherCompany-car treatment; EU fleet standardSeasonality, model supply and registration timingPrimary series. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
NorwayVAT exemption capped at NOK 500,000About 7 months' notice2023-01-01High pull-forward exposureJanuary volume -76.6%; BEV share 66.5%OFV registrations; no, industry-ownedCombustion registration taxes also changedLarge combustion-tax differentialDecember registration pull-forwardRegistration series. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
GermanyCommercial buyers excluded from UmweltbonusExact date not stated in brief2023-09-01Not stated; pull-forward possibleBEV registrations: 86,649 and 31.7% in August; 31,714 and 14.1% in SeptemberKBA; yesPrivate-buyer grant remainedPrivate grant, company-car tax, EU fleet standardCommercial/private mix and month timingPrimary series. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
GermanyUmweltbonus terminated2023-12-162023-12-171 day; little announced pull-forwardBEV share of new cars: 18.4% in 2023; 13.5% in 2024KBA; yesNo direct concurrent removal statedCompany-car tax and EU fleet standardSupply, prices, interest rates and EU compliance timingPrimary series; no termination-effect study. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
New ZealandClean Car Discount feebate endedAbout 4 weeks' notice2023-12-31High pull-forward exposureNew passenger BEV+PHEV share: 19.1% in 2023; 7.3% in 2024. December 2023 units 4,298; January 2024 units 433NZTA register; yesRoad-user-charge exemption ended 2024-04-01; standard weakenedClean Vehicle Standard remainedRoad-user charge, standard change and December pull-forwardPrimary series. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
FranceBonus écologique cutAbout 1 month's notice2025-01-01Short notice; some pull-forward possibleBEV registrations +3.2% year on year in January 2025; PHEV -53%Avere-France; noPHEV weight malus changedCompany-car, tax and EU fleet policiesOne-month reading and powertrain-specific tax changeIndustry series. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
NetherlandsSEPP purchase subsidy endedProgramme end known about 1 year ahead2025-01-01Long notice; pull-forward possibleBEV share of new passenger cars: 34.6% in 2024; 40.2% in 2025CBS; yesFull BPM exemption also endedMRB discount and company-car treatmentTwo policies changed togetherPrimary series. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
NetherlandsFull BPM exemption endedProgramme end known about 1 year ahead2025-01-01Long notice; pull-forward possibleBEV share of new passenger cars: 34.6% in 2024; 40.2% in 2025CBS; yesSEPP also endedMRB discount and company-car treatmentTwo policies changed togetherPrimary series. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
ChinaPurchase-tax exemption converted to half reliefAbout 2.5 years' notice2026-01-01Long notice; pull-forward possibleTotal car sales -20% year on year in 2026 Q1 while EV share was maintained; April share above 60%IEA synthesis; not an official statistical seriesTrade-in support from 2026-01-01Half purchase-tax relief and other industrial measuresMacroeconomic decline, price competition and exportsIEA report, CC BY 4.0. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.
NorwayVAT threshold cut to NOK 300,000About 2 to 3 months' notice2026-01-01High pull-forward exposureJanuary volume -76.7%; BEV share 94.0%OFV registrations; no, industry-ownedCirculation-tax EV malus followed 2026-03-01Acquisition-tax differentialDecember 2025 registrations +157.7% year on yearRegistration series. This observation is neither a counterfactual nor an estimated effect.

The Denmark model result is deliberately narrow. Asplund, Jinkins, Lutz and Paizs estimate Tesla Model S registrations only: 1,965 actual over the study period versus 1,858 to 2,008 under their no-tax-change counterfactual. That model-specific timing result cannot be generalised to Danish EV demand, and this page draws no market-wide level-effect conclusion.

5. What different evidence can and cannot say about Chinese state support

State support was central to creating China's EV industry, supply chain and scale. The total of current support has not been quantified: CSIS and the OECD MAGIC database exclude the battery industry, and no source in the brief attempts a complete total. The evidence below therefore remains separated by object, denominator, period, scope, method and exclusions.

EvidenceObject measuredDenominatorPeriodScopeMethodExclusions
CSIS: USD 230.9bnSelected cumulative EV supportTotal and a separate USD 4,800 per-vehicle estimate2009 to 2023China EV industryAssembled fiscal and policy categoriesBattery industry excluded; CSIS says 2023 is USD 22.9bn, not USD 45.3bn, using China's official tax data
Kiel: EUR 1,300Buyer subsidyPer subsidised vehicleStudy period stated by KielConsumer rebate onlyMIIT settlement recordsNot purchase-tax exemptions, charging, R&D or procurement; not comparable to CSIS per vehicle
Rhodium firm comparisonCounted direct grants and preferential finance in BYD versus Tesla built in ChinaFirm-to-firm cost gapCurrent comparison in 2026 reportTwo firms inside ChinaItemised cost decompositionNets out China location; selected subsidy types only; no total battery or supply-chain support estimate

Operative legal finding. Regulation (EU) 2024/2754 is final and operative. Additional rates are BYD 17.0%, Geely 18.8%, SAIC 35.3%, Tesla Shanghai 7.8%, other cooperating producers 20.7% and all others 35.3%, on top of 10% MFN; the lesser-duty rule was not applied. It is under WTO challenge in DS630, with no panel report expected before Q2 2027, and six undecided General Court actions. Legal status does not settle the evidentiary interpretation.

Cost cross-check, not a control. IEA observations of about 30% lower ICE production cost versus Germany and about 35% lower BEV production cost versus advanced economies use different comparators and unmatched vehicle definitions. They are consistent with a large general China manufacturing-cost advantage; subtraction between them identifies no EV-specific contribution. Rhodium's firm comparison does not find counted direct grants and preferential financing dominant in that comparison, but cannot support an industry-wide verdict.

Export and price evidence. The identified vehicle VAT remission is 13% against a 13% levy, full remission rather than excess remission under Annex I(g); that says nothing about support under other theories. The battery export rebate was cut to 9%, then 6%, and is abolished from 2027-01-01. Rhodium measures BYD Seal U per-unit profit at about EUR 14,300 in the EU versus EUR 1,300 in China, while the IEA says exporters seek higher returns abroad. The EU proceeded ex officio under anti-subsidy law, not anti-dumping law. The exports-minus-overseas-sales gap is reported by the IEA as destination inventory, partly shipping lag, and is not evidence about zero-mileage exports.

Separate comparators and objections. The IEA reports that LG Energy Solution and Panasonic Energy would have had negative 2024 operating margins without U.S. production credits, while CATL margins were 10% to 15% in 2020 to 2024 and 18% in 2025. Those facts do not establish comparable scope or competitive effect. South Africa's general/MFN rate is 25% for BEVs and combustion cars alike; 18% is a preference available to qualifying EU/UK combustion vehicles, not the general combustion rate. Finally, a Beijing think tank critique makes a specific, testable objection to the OECD Loan Prime Rate benchmark. Its co-author is a former senior central-bank official; it is a serious objection, not a neutral audit.

6. United States series

The United States is included in the inventory because all three subnational lists reached complete named coverage. Its sales path remains a confounded descriptive break. The monthly values, definitions, source history and already-published descriptive analysis are on U.S. EV and hybrid sales; no memo-derived decomposition is repeated here.

7. Method, sources and vintage

Roster rule. A country enters only if all six cells resolve from a primary source. An explicit primary-source statement of nonexistence or absence from a complete official schedule can resolve a negative. Company-car treatment is not exempt. A subnational cell must have complete named coverage. The frozen rule produced ten rows, each with six resolved cells, verified 2026-08-31.

Cell schema. Every policy cell records value, summary, implementation status, challenge status, verification status, jurisdiction level, announcement/effective/expiry dates, primary source and verification date. Every share records powertrain and vehicle scope, period, numerator, denominator, source URL and retrieval basis. Tense follows the structured statuses: Canada's mandate repeal and the U.S. CAFE reset are proposed; the EU CO2 revision remains in co-decision; the 2026-08-31 NHTSA document is interpretive; Canada's quota is in force.

Fuel taxation, added 2026-09-01. Section 3 was originally omitted because the tax component could not be isolated outside Europe. A dedicated verification pass established retail prices and statutory tax rates from primary sources for all six non-European markets, and both tax bases from the Oil Bulletin for sixteen EU member states, for the common month of July 2026, meeting the plan's Gate A, and the section was added. Non-European tax-exclusive values are calculated residuals, labelled as such in the section.

Excluded markets and gaps. Twenty-eight scoped markets were excluded because at least one of the six instrument cells lacked a primary-source resolution. The briefs do not contain a final per-market exclusion-cell ledger, so this page does not reconstruct or guess one. Company-car or benefit-in-kind treatment was the dominant documented coverage gap. The released page therefore covers 10 of 38 scoped markets and excludes 28. It is not a maintained world policy tracker. Blocked or automation-resistant hosts recorded in the briefs included acea.auto, regjeringen.no, retsinformation.dk, ft.dk, canada.ca, dep.nj.gov, tax.colorado.gov, svenskforfattningssamling.se, economie.gouv.fr, VicRoads, SRO Victoria, austlii.edu.au and several U.S. state-code portals.

Publication-day refresh gate. Before deployment, recheck the EU duty table and undertakings; DS630 and the six General Court actions; Canada's quota; Türkiye's implementation; the UK ZEV consultation; the EU CO2 proposal; Canada's proposed mandate repeal; the U.S. CAFE proposal; China's battery export rebate; Singapore's EEAI; Germany's PHEV window; and Norway's signalled 2027 VAT change. These page values remain stamped 2026-08-31 until that human gate is run.

Source boundary. Policy cells come from the committed verification briefs, with the plan's corrections overriding earlier conflicts. Country shares come from KBA, SDES, CBS, SCB, Statistics Denmark, SSB, DfT, Statistics Canada, the NVES Regulator and the site's Argonne-backed SQLite series. IEA figures appear only from the licence-cleared July 2026 report. The Policy Explorer PDF and downloadable GEVO dataset are not reproduced.